What is the trend of steel pipes in the second half of the year when the market is strong and fast changing?

1. Steel pipe market

In the first half of 2020, the welded pipe in North China shows the trend of frequent vibration and fluctuation. The price continued to go down in January and February this year. In the middle of March, a wave of small pieces were ushered in.Until close to May, the price showed an upward trend, rising successively.Although the rain season increased, but due to the strength of raw materials, in the short term or to strong.

2. Steel pipe production

According to statistics, the national welded steel pipe output in January and February 2020 was 4.412 million tons, a cumulative decrease of 26.8%.The national welded steel pipe output in March 2020 was 4.794 million tons, down 13.6% year on year, and the cumulative value of welded steel pipe output in January-March 2020 was 8.83 million tons, down 24.4%.In April 2020, China's welded steel pipe output was 5.684 million tons, with a year-on-year growth of 19.3%.From January to April, the output of welded steel tubes was 14.615 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 11.2 percent.In May 2020, China's welded steel pipe output was 5.875 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 16.9%.

３. Steel pipe import and export

According to customs statistics, China exported 3,309,100 tons of welded pipe from January to November 2019, 373,400 tons less than 3,682,500 tons in the same period of last year, a decrease of 10.14%.In November, 377,100 tons of welded pipes were exported, up 12.45% month-on-month.From January to November 2019, China imported 17,500 tons of welded pipe, 86,500 tons less than 257,000 tons in the same period of last year, 33.66% less than that of the same period of last year.Among them, 18,200 tons of welded pipes were imported in November, with a month-on-month increase of 2.47%.From January to November, the accumulated net export of welded pipes reached 3.1386 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 8.38%.Statistics show that in January 2020, export welded pipes amounted to 257,600 tons and import welded pipes to 12,500 tons, the same as in February. In March, export welded pipes amounted to 247,600 tons and import welded pipes amounted to 27,000 tons.In April, 357,100 tons of welded pipes were exported, 18,700 tons were imported, 342,100 tons were exported and 14,200 tons were imported.In January, 254,500 tons of seamless tubes were exported and 13,600 tons of seamless tubes were imported, the same as in February. In March, 351,300 tons of seamless tubes were exported and 14,500 tons of seamless tubes were imported.In April, 378,700 tons of seamless tubes were exported, 13,500 tons of seamless tubes were imported, and 335,300 tons of seamless tubes were exported and 11,700 tons of seamless tubes were imported.

summary

In general, with the increase of environmental protection production limit, the pipe factory has its own control over production.With the further development of the project, the expansion of infrastructure investment will also be a strong support for the steel industry.In the short term, there is still room for the price to rise to a certain extent. To sum up, it is estimated that the steel pipe price will fluctuate at a high level in the second half of 2020.